Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 411.855609 469.019734 532.888660 609.839151 700.432132 804.177079 932.661592
2025-09-14 319.198310 391.315169 479.389045 596.032510 748.202064 942.417836 1213.016786
2025-09-21 272.142521 350.040729 450.926960 593.379090 792.971208 1068.269762 1486.780579
2025-09-28 231.251912 308.259673 412.484498 567.037089 795.974112 1131.875823 1680.202902
2025-10-05 214.697000 295.945348 410.587831 588.776364 867.467042 1302.305415 2065.525803
2025-10-12 202.884419 288.199955 413.201373 616.056164 949.806490 1501.849528 2541.456155
2025-10-19 187.267002 272.720755 401.915955 619.350750 992.938133 1643.069570 2946.449264
2025-10-26 169.803159 252.416752 380.610355 603.043937 999.534205 1720.342707 3246.877648
2025-11-02 155.923829 236.231667 363.900110 591.861165 1012.636479 1810.420845 3593.072350
2025-11-09 149.197450 230.725423 363.781004 608.933571 1079.270293 2014.076170 4234.915973
2025-11-16 139.835721 219.974468 353.667879 606.610484 1108.169588 2146.530909 4750.201479
2025-11-23 130.617818 208.636630 341.385896 598.637946 1124.349973 2254.530968 5235.863503
2025-11-30 123.828897 201.065695 335.310532 602.333936 1166.369587 2430.802550 5962.957171
2025-12-07 115.310194 189.812710 321.631457 589.658382 1171.979552 2525.334316 6500.337971
2025-12-14 109.011608 181.978801 313.467797 586.985037 1198.977790 2676.528351 7256.451617
2025-12-21 100.338360 169.208646 294.976414 560.983024 1169.201427 2679.828570 7556.441615
2025-12-28 98.210758 168.260075 298.868334 582.444326 1253.508526 2997.728951 9014.277337
2026-01-04 96.778187 168.466645 304.971287 609.372743 1355.688911 3389.841387 10920.713682
2026-01-11 92.870805 163.661887 300.669720 612.624684 1399.086593 3625.379850 12355.567415
2026-01-18 87.317126 155.295548 288.477352 596.528508 1389.795884 3701.632937 13183.479978
2026-01-25 82.687440 148.441949 278.881226 585.489556 1392.494850 3816.607590 14241.042431
2026-02-01 80.969677 147.231590 280.947709 602.342191 1474.445437 4208.198117 16790.292025
2026-02-08 77.662086 142.603308 275.382718 600.049079 1502.119296 4426.034519 18634.471799